Forecaster Tropical Storm Risk says it anticipates North Atlantic hurricane activity to be around 25% lower than the 1991-2020 30-year norm. Its forecast says there will be 13 named storms, 6 hurricanes of which 2 are expected to be Category 3 or above.

Adam Lea, head of Tropical Storm Risk, said: “There remains considerable uncertainty at this timescale, but the current forecast indicates a quieter than average North Atlantic hurricane season.

“El Niño conditions are expected in the second half of the hurricane season which are known to reduce the potency and impact as hurricanes develop and track westward across the North Atlantic and Caribbean.”

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